Playoff Scenarios

Two games left to play in the regular season, and we still have a lot of movement possible. I can finish 1st or 2nd, Gil can finish 2nd or 3rd, Derek can finish 3rd or 4th. Mike can finish as high as 1st but as low as 4th. Danny is locked in at 5 and Chad will finish in 6th. Here are all of the remaining possibilities:

Gil beats Chad, Mike beats Derek
1. Roel (4-1 overall, 1-1 head to head, 89 team rating)
2. Gil (4-1 overall, 1-1 head to head, 94 team rating)
3. Mike (4-1 overall, 1-1 head to head, 96 team rating)
4. Derek (2-3 overall)
5. Danny (1-4 overall)
6. Chad (0-5 overall)

Gil beats Chad, Derek beats Mike
1. Roel (4-1 overall, win over Gil)
2. Gil (4-1 overall, loss to Roel)
3. Derek (3-2 overall, win over Mike)
4. Mike (3-2 overall, loss to Derek)
5. Danny (1-4 overall)
6. Chad (0-5 overall)

Chad beats Gil, Mike beats Derek
1. Mike (4-1 overall, win over Roel)
2. Roel (4-1 overall, loss to Mike)
3. Gil (3-2 overall, win over Derek)
4. Derek (3-2 overall, loss to Gil)
5. Danny (1-4 overall, win over Chad)
6. Chad (1-4 overall, loss to Danny)

Chad beats Gil, Derek beats Mike
1. Roel (4-1 overall)
2. Gil (3-2 overall, 2-0 head to head)
3. Derek (3-2 overall, 1-1 head to head)
4. Mike (3-2 overall, 0-2 head to head)
5. Danny (1-4 overall, win over Chad)
6. Chad (1-4 overall, loss to Danny)

A&M (Danny) 14 - Texas (Roel) 28

A&M 0 - TEX 0 (1st), 7 YDS TEX

A&M 0 - TEX 10 (2nd), INT A&M

A&M 0 - TEX 10 (2nd), 42 YDS TEX

A&M 7 - TEX 13 (3rd), 5 YDS TEX

UW 14 - TEX 28 (4th), INT A&M

Statistics	Danny	Roel
Points for	14	28
Rushing attempts for	11	42
Rushing yards for	43	227
Passing attempts for	24	5
Passing yards for	185	33
Punts	0	1
Field goals for	0	2
Long field goals (40+) for	0	0
Times player went for two	0	1
Rushing touchdowns for	0	3
Passing touchdowns for	2	0
Returns touchdowns for	0	0
Defensive touchdowns for	0	0
Turnovers for	0	4
Interceptions for	4	0
Sacks for	0	0
Number of third downs	6	10
Third down conversions	4	7
Fourth down rushing plays	1	0
Fourth down passing plays	0	0
No-huddle plays	0	0
Audibles called	7	1
Hot routes used	0	0
Scrambles	0	1
Shotgun plays	6	2
Time of possession	7:09	12:55
Favorite offensive play book	Texas A&M	Texas

A&M (Danny) 14 - Texas (Chad) 7

The win locks Danny into 5th seed for the playoffs, and locks Chad into 6th. Details to follow.

Week 5 - September 22 - September 29

Seedings are all up for grabs in the final week of the season. Top two seeds get a first round bye.

Host	Visitor
Chad	Gil
Danny	Roel
Mike	Derek

Washington (Derek) 10 - Texas (Roel) 17

Down 17 - 10 in the 4th, Washington drove down the field to reach the Texas 20 yard line. On a subsequent dive play, two Texas defenders combined to injure the Derek's starting halfback. Down to his second string back and facing 4th and 10, Washington threw a goal line interception with 1:49 left in the game.

Seven of the eleven games in this season have been decided with less than two minutes to go in the game.

The win means that my Texas team will finish the regular season no worse than third in the standings. A week five win versus Danny and will lock me into the first seed unless Gil loses to Chad.

Derek can finish the regular season as high as third if a) Derek beats Mike, b) Chad beats Gil and c) Danny beats Roel. In any other case, Derek would finish fourth.

If Danny beats Chad in the week 4 game, he locks himself into fifth and locks Chad into sixth. If Chad wins, Danny finishes sixth and Chad finishes fifth.

UW 0 - TEX 0 (1st), TD TEX

UW 0 - TEX 7 (1st), 25 YDS UW

UW 3 - TEX 7 (2nd, 3rd and Goal), TD TEX

UW 3 - TEX 14 (2nd), 10 YDS UW

UW 3 - TEX 14 (2nd, 0:05 remaining), TD UW

UW 10 - TEX 14 (3rd), FG TEX

UW 10 - TEX 17 (4th), -2 YDS UW, Injury HB

UW 10 - TEX 17 (4th), INT UW

Statistics	Derek	Roel
Points for	10	17
Rushing attempts for	27	25
Rushing yards for	98	86
Passing attempts for	14	8
Passing yards for	73	117
Punts	1	0
Field goals for	1	1
Long field goals (40+) for	0	0
Times player went for two	0	0
Rushing touchdowns for	1	1
Passing touchdowns for	0	1
Returns touchdowns for	0	0
Defensive touchdowns for	0	0
Turnovers for	0	1
Interceptions for	1	0
Sacks for	0	0
Number of third downs	8	7
Third down conversions	4	6
Fourth down rushing plays	1	0
Fourth down passing plays	1	0
No-huddle plays	1	0
Audibles called	2	1
Hot routes used	0	0
Scrambles	3	0
Shotgun plays	17	2
Time of possession	11:01	9:03
Favorite offensive play book	Washington	Texas

Playoff Tiebreakers

It's not unlikely that four players will finish the season with the same record. In the event that this happens, we'll revert to the rules that we established before the start of the season. To refresh everyone's memory, here are the tiebreakers:

1. Head to head records
2. Team rating (Lower ratings winning the tiebreak)
3. Point differential.

Head to head tiebreakers will be applied multiple times if needed. For example, if Derek beats Mike, Danny beats Roel and Chad beats Gil, four teams will finish with 3 - 2 records. In this case, I get the first seed because I win the head to head versus Gil (the only other team with a 2 - 1 head to head record versus the four tied teams). Derek would finish third because he would own the head to head tiebreaker versus Mike (the only other team with a 1 - 2 record against the four tied teams).

Team ratings will only be used if the head to head cannot resolve the tie. For example, if Mike, Gil and I finish with a 4 - 1 record, then the finishing position will be determined by the tiebreaker rules. Since Gil beat Mike, Mike beat me, and I beat Gil, the head to head records are also tied. Going to the second tiebreaker, we'd end up with me (team rating 89) winning the tie break, Gil (team rating 94) in second and Mike (team rating 96) in third.

Now I feel like a genius for having team ratings as the second tiebreaker.

The higher seeded team will host each game.

Oklahoma (Mike) 20 - Florida (Gil) 25

Feast or famine for Mike's air attack as OU passed 17 times for 257 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. If you remove the four picks, OU averaged over 19 yards per attempt. Compare this to the league average is about 8 yards per pass attempt.

With five games left in the season, four teams are still in the hunt for the number one seed.

(2nd), INT OU


(3rd), TD FLA


(4th), INT OU


(4th), INT OU


(4th), TD FLA

Statistics	Mike	Gil
Points for	20	25
Rushing attempts for	9	30
Rushing yards for	3	113
Passing attempts for	17	25
Passing yards for	257	128
Punts	1	1
Field goals for	0	4
Long field goals (40+) for	0	0
Times player went for two	1	1
Rushing touchdowns for	1	1
Passing touchdowns for	2	1
Returns touchdowns for	0	0
Defensive touchdowns for	0	0
Turnovers for	2	5
Interceptions for	4	2
Sacks for	0	3
Number of third downs	3	14
Third down conversions	1	7
Fourth down rushing plays	0	0
Fourth down passing plays	0	1
No-huddle plays	6	0
Audibles called	2	4
Hot routes used	9	4
Scrambles	1	0
Shotgun plays	27	0
Time of possession	6:53	13:11
Favorite offensive play book	Washington	Texas

Texas (Chad) 0 - Oklahoma (Mike) 21

Details to follow.

Statistics	Chad	Mike
Points for	0	21
Rushing attempts for	26	16
Rushing yards for	19	25
Passing attempts for	22	30
Passing yards for	86	258
Punts	2	1
Field goals for	0	0
Long field goals (40+) for	0	0
Times player went for two	0	0
Rushing touchdowns for	0	0
Passing touchdowns for	0	3
Returns touchdowns for	0	0
Defensive touchdowns for	0	0
Turnovers for	2	4
Interceptions for	4	2
Sacks for	2	2
Number of third downs	14	10
Third down conversions	2	4
Fourth down rushing plays	5	4
Fourth down passing plays	0	0
No-huddle plays	0	1
Audibles called	0	3
Hot routes used	0	7
Scrambles	0	0
Shotgun plays	14	28
Time of possession	10:24	10:21
Favorite offensive play book	OU	Texas

Washington (Derek) 23 - A&M (Danny) 15

1st, 18 YDS A&M


1st, 30 YDS UW


3rd, INT A&M


4th, 27 YDS A&M


4th, TD UW


4th, TD A&M




4th, INT A&M

Statistics	Derek	Danny
Points for	23	15
Rushing attempts for	21	11
Rushing yards for	121	29
Passing attempts for	23	29
Passing yards for	93	198
Punts	3	2
Field goals for	3	0
Long field goals (40+) for	3	0
Times player went for two	0	1
Rushing touchdowns for	2	2
Passing touchdowns for	0	0
Returns touchdowns for	0	0
Defensive touchdowns for	0	0
Turnovers for	3	0
Interceptions for	0	3
Sacks for	0	0
Number of third downs	12	8
Third down conversions	6	4
Fourth down rushing plays	0	0
Fourth down passing plays	0	0
No-huddle plays	0	0
Audibles called	0	8
Hot routes used	2	0
Scrambles	0	0
Shotgun plays	24	10
Time of possession	11:29	8:35
Favorite offensive play book	Washington	Texas A&M

Week 3 Wrap Up

Here are the stats through the end of week 3. This does not include the week 4 Gil vs. Mike game.

	Chad	Danny	Derek	Gil	Mike	Roel
Overall
Wins	0	0	2	2	3	2
Losses	3	3	1	1	0	1
Win %	0%	0%	67%	67%	100%	67%
Points per game	9.3	16.3	19.3	26.3	26.3	24.0
Opponent points per game	29.0	23.3	25.7	13.7	11.3	18.7
Point differential	-19.7	-7.0	-6.3	12.7	15.0	5.3
Offense
Points per game	9.3	16.3	17.3	16.3	26.3	22.0
Total touchdowns	1.3	2.0	2.0	1.7	3.7	2.7
Rushing touchdowns	0.3	0.7	0.7	1.0	1.3	1.7
Passing touchdowns	1.0	1.3	1.3	0.7	2.3	1.0
Field goals	0.0	0.7	1.0	1.0	0.3	1.0
Total offense	152.0	230.0	199.0	186.7	272.7	231.3
Total plays	44.7	46.7	36.7	33.7	37.3	42.0
Total yards per play	3.4	4.9	5.4	5.5	7.3	5.5
Rushing plays	21.3	20.3	14.7	24.0	11.7	23.0
Rushing yards	46.0	45.3	49.3	114.0	19.7	101.3
Rushing yards per carry	2.2	2.2	3.4	4.8	1.7	4.4
Passing plays	23.3	26.3	22.0	9.7	25.7	19.0
Passing yards	106.0	184.7	149.7	72.7	253.0	130.0
Passing yards per attempt	4.5	7.0	6.8	7.5	9.9	6.8
Touchdowns per interception	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.5	1.4	0.6
Interceptions	2.3	2.3	2.3	1.3	1.7	1.7
Interception %	10%	9%	11%	14%	6%	9%
Running play %	48%	44%	40%	71%	31%	55%
Passing play %	52%	56%	60%	29%	69%	45%
Running yards %	30%	20%	25%	61%	7%	44%
Passing yards %	70%	80%	75%	39%	93%	56%
Third downs	9.7	9.7	8.0	7.0	6.7	9.0
Third down conversions	3.0	5.7	3.3	2.3	3.3	4.3
Third down conversion %	31%	59%	42%	33%	50%	48%
Turnovers	2.7	2.3	2.3	1.3	1.7	2.0
Plays per turnover	16.8	20.0	15.7	25.3	22.4	21.0
Punts	2.0	1.3	1.7	1.3	0.7	1.3
Turnovers + punts	4.7	3.7	4.0	2.7	2.3	3.3
Defense
Points per game	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.0	0.0	2.0
Opponent points per game	27.0	21.3	19.7	11.7	11.3	16.7
Net points per game	27.0	21.3	19.7	3.7	11.3	14.7
Defensive touchdowns	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.3	0.0	0.3
Turnovers forced	1.0	2.0	1.3	3.3	3.3	1.3
Plays per turnover	35.0	18.5	27.5	13.9	14.2	29.0
Punts forced	1.0	1.0	1.7	1.3	1.3	2.0
Defensive stops	2.0	3.0	3.0	4.7	4.7	3.3
Total defense	239.0	221.0	196.0	217.3	186.3	212.0
Total plays	35.0	37.0	36.7	46.3	47.3	38.7
Total yards per play	6.8	6.0	5.3	4.7	3.9	5.5
Rushing plays	16.0	16.0	17.3	23.0	22.3	20.3
Rushing yards	48.7	64.3	71.3	65.3	46.7	79.3
Rushing yards per carry	3.0	4.0	4.1	2.8	2.1	3.9
Passing plays	19.0	21.0	19.3	23.3	25.0	18.3
Passing yards	190.3	156.7	124.7	152.0	139.7	132.7
Passing yards per attempt	10.0	7.5	6.4	6.5	5.6	7.2
Interceptions forced	1.0	2.0	1.0	3.3	3.0	1.3
Interception %	5%	10%	5%	14%	12%	7%
Sacks for	1.0	0.3	0.3	1.0	1.7	1.0
Number of third downs	6.3	8.3	7.3	9.7	12.0	6.3
Third down conversions	3.3	3.7	3.7	3.7	5.0	2.7
Third down conversion %	53%	44%	50%	38%	42%	42%
Special Teams
Points per game	0.0	2.0	5.0	5.0	1.0	3.0
Field goals	0.0	0.7	1.0	1.0	0.3	1.0
Return touchdowns	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0